Covenant Logistics Group Stock Performance

CVLG Stock  USD 27.78  0.69  2.55%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Covenant Logistics holds a performance score of 19. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.05, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Covenant Logistics will likely underperform. Please check Covenant Logistics' expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Covenant Logistics' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Covenant Logistics Group are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating essential indicators, Covenant Logistics reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.55
Five Day Return
8.47
Year To Date Return
24.57
Ten Year Return
177.8
All Time Return
184.92
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0103
Payout Ratio
0.1842
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.28
Dividend Date
2025-12-26
1
Published on 2025-11-20 093317 - newser.com
11/20/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by Matisse Long of Covenant Logistics subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
3
Disposition of 4500 shares by Welborn Wesley Miller of Covenant Logistics subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
4
1 Profitable Stock to Research Further and 2 We Brush Off
12/17/2025
 
Covenant Logistics dividend paid on 26th of December 2025
12/26/2025
5
Disposition of 1017 shares by Joey Ballard of Covenant Logistics at 22.04 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
6
Why Covenant Logistics Group Inc. stock could be next big winner - Morning Star Patterns The Best Picks Hiding in Plain Sight - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
7
Covenant Logistics Groups Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
01/21/2026
8
Covenant Logistics Q4 Earnings What To Expect
01/28/2026
9
Covenant Logistics Misses Q4 CY2025 Sales Expectations
01/29/2026
10
Covenant Logistics Group Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Revenue Growth and ...
01/30/2026
11
Covenant Logistics Group Stock Price Up 8 percent Whats Next
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow2.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-107.7 M

Covenant Logistics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,935  in Covenant Logistics Group on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  843.00  from holding Covenant Logistics Group or generate 43.57% return on investment over 90 days. Covenant Logistics Group is currently generating 0.635% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.5218% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Covenant, and 88% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Covenant Logistics is expected to generate 3.36 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Covenant Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Covenant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.78 90 days 27.78 
roughly 2.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Covenant Logistics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.18 (This Covenant Logistics Group probability density function shows the probability of Covenant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.05 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Covenant Logistics will likely underperform. Additionally Covenant Logistics Group has an alpha of 0.4304, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Covenant Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Covenant Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Covenant Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.2227.7830.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.3429.9032.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.1325.6928.24
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.8231.6735.15
Details

Covenant Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Covenant Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Covenant Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Covenant Logistics Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Covenant Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.05
σ
Overall volatility
2.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Covenant Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Covenant Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Covenant Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 26th of December 2025 Covenant Logistics paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Covenant Logistics Group Stock Price Up 8 percent Whats Next

Covenant Logistics Fundamentals Growth

Covenant Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Covenant Logistics, and Covenant Logistics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Covenant Stock performance.

About Covenant Logistics Performance

By analyzing Covenant Logistics' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Covenant Logistics' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Covenant Logistics has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Covenant Logistics has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.52  2.39 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.08 

Things to note about Covenant Logistics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Covenant Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Covenant Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 26th of December 2025 Covenant Logistics paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Covenant Logistics Group Stock Price Up 8 percent Whats Next
Evaluating Covenant Logistics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Covenant Logistics' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Covenant Logistics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Covenant Logistics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Covenant Logistics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Covenant Logistics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Covenant Logistics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Covenant Logistics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Covenant Logistics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Covenant Logistics' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Covenant Logistics' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Covenant Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Covenant Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Covenant Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Covenant Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Covenant Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Covenant Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Covenant Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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